21 February 2019, Mosul, Iraq. Students at the Izzdin al Qassan Mixed Primary School in East Mosul sing and recite poetry during a weekly flag raising routine. During the battle to liberate Mosul from ISIS control the school was damaged after being hit by several mortars and rockets. It has since been rehabilitated with the support of UNDP’s Funding Facility for Stabilization (FFS).

Low-Fee Private Schools

Photo by UNDP Iraq / Claire Thomas

Low-Fee Private Schools

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Education
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Education Infrastructure
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
10% - 15% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Quality Education (SDG 4) Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Establish or operate a branch of low-fee private primary, middle and high schools based on one of the three ownership structures, defining the scale: (i) owned by a local proprietor with skills in education and school development or business administration; (ii) cooperatives with established or discussed fundraising partnerships; (iii) corporate chains. Set fee affordability benchmark in terms of minimum wage, household income, or national poverty line such as less than 10% household income of families at twice the national poverty line, while ensuring accountability and quality of the education through government and third-party oversight.

Expected Impact

Improve educational outcomes, skills development, and employability, introducing innovative teaching methods and creating a learning ecosystem favourable for extracurricular activities.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

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Country
Region
  • Iraq: Countrywide
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Education

Development need
Achieving quality education in Iraq is undermined by limited government education spending, which represents less than 10% of the public budget that is below the MENA average of 14% and the international benchmark of 15-20% for achieving SDG 4, quality of education staff, outdated curriculum, weak school infrastructure, skills mismatch, and limited time spent at school (3,4).

Policy priority
Building human capacity is the first of the five sustainable development priorities set out by Iraq’s Vision 2030. The government envisions the domestication of the SDGs through the Ministerial Curriculum (2022-2025) which stipulates the adoption of a plan based on 23 axes, including the improvement of human capital endowment and efficiency in education as the 14th axis (1, 2).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Female labor force participation in Iraq is the second lowest in the world, at 10.6% as of 2021 (cf. 68% for males) as an outcome of numerous factors that hinder entry, including educational inclusion, prevalence of child marriages, and societal norms. In Iraq, mostly girls make up the 3.2 million children that are out of school (6, 8). Marginalized communities, including the estimated 200,000 displaced households and people living in more than 470 informal settlements in Iraq, have significant challenges in accessing physical education facilities or bear the brunt of overcrowding, inadequate school facilities, and long distances to school, which disproportionately impact the girls’ transportation to the educational facilities. Lack of civil documentation and the need to work to provide extra income for their families impede displaced children’s inclusion in the education system (7).

Investment opportunities introduction
Iraq is a conflict-affected upper-middle income country, endowed with one of the most youthful populations globally as 40% of the Iraqi population is under 15, with opportunities to invest in school buildings, technology-based distance learning, early childhood development, private schools, and higher education facilities such as laboratories (2, 5).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Sourcing skills amidst high employee turnover and access to finance need to be addressed given the banks’ limited loan portfolio and public mistrust in the banking system, owing to bank failures during domestic insurgency and external shocks, and currency auction practices among others (9).

Sub Sector

Education Infrastructure

Development need
School infrastructure is an urgently needed investment in Iraq given that almost half of the 14,032 existing school buildings need rehabilitation or significant design improvements to ensure basic safety and hygiene standards. The deficit in school buildings results in double- and multiple-shift schools which represent 45% of the total schools in 2018/2019 academic year (3, 4).

Policy priority
The National Development Plan (2018-2022) sets the rehabilitation, expansion, and development of new school buildings as a means of achieving its Human and Social Development pillar. In 2023, Iraqi government established a fund of funds (FOF) with a capital of about USD 765 million, including the education sector, and aims at constructing 1,000 new schools immediately (10, 11).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
In Iraq, girls are more likely to be out-of-school than boys at all education levels. The urban-rural divide in school completion rates is prevalent at all education levels and as high as 12%. In Southern Iraq, notably in Al-Muthanna and Missan, gaps in completion rates for primary and lower secondary education levels are the widest. Lacking adequate mobile devices and internet, displaced children have been the most vulnerable to pandemic conditions and some lost around two years of schooling, without access to remote learning. In rural areas, female teachers may not work due to cultural barriers that refrain them from instructing in mixed and overcrowded classrooms (6, 7).

Investment opportunities introduction
Post-crisis reconstruction and demographic dividend vouch for lucrative investments in education infrastructure and inter-sector linkages between education and agriculture. Federal Budget 2023-2025 grants contractual privileges to private sector for construction of pre-university schools and higher education facilities such as teaching hospitals (12).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Sourcing well-educated teachers is hard as only about one third of teachers in Iraq have bachelor’s or higher degree. Low salary and conflict hinder the practice of teaching. Lack of synergies between administrative units and limited flow of educational data undermine the long-term strategic and corporate planning amidst the conflict-induced uncertainty (4, 9).

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Low-Fee Private Schools

Business Model

Establish or operate a branch of low-fee private primary, middle and high schools based on one of the three ownership structures, defining the scale: (i) owned by a local proprietor with skills in education and school development or business administration; (ii) cooperatives with established or discussed fundraising partnerships; (iii) corporate chains. Set fee affordability benchmark in terms of minimum wage, household income, or national poverty line such as less than 10% household income of families at twice the national poverty line, while ensuring accountability and quality of the education through government and third-party oversight.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

Students enrolled in primary and secondary private schools in Iraq represent about 5% of the total and pay an average school fee that falls between USD 1000 to 2100 annually, vouching for a market size estimate above USD 300 million (29, 30).

The number of private primary school in Iraq increased by 131% between 2015/2016-2018/2019 academic years. During the same period number of private secondary schools increased by 86% (4).

The demand for private schools in Iraq is high where the rate of students attending a public school per each student in private school is 21 nation-wide -while the figure is higher than 45 in some governorates, including Ninevah, Salah ad-Din, and Missan (4).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

10% - 15%

With a growing investment appetite and ecosystem for chain private schools in the Gulf and Middle East and North Africa regions, a benchmark private equity investment generated 11 to 13% in IRR (13).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

The investment timeframe for private school investment in the region are expected to be longer than established timeframe, such as three years. A private equity investment in the region paid back in six years (13, 14).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Sourcing high-quality teaching personnel is hard given the labor force constraints in the post-conflict society (4,9).

Market - Highly Regulated

The investors who want to operate countrywide need to comply with two different legislations which has different clauses for foreign ownership, allowing full ownership at regional level, and partial at the federal one (15, 16).

Pricing and Scaling Up

The private schools would be able to open a new branch or change the tuition fees, adapting to needs, at the turn of academic year, therefore have limited power in pricing and scaling up (14).

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

The projected cost of delivering SDG 4 - Quality Education in Iraq for the period of 2022-2030 would be about USD 120 billion from a developing country base scenario, albeit the limited public spending on education, representing less than 10% of the government budget -below the MENA average (3, 18).

Quality of education, physical education facilities, and skill levels in Iraq remain low amid high dropout rates (highest at the end of upper secondary education with 12%, in 2020) and repetition rates (over-aged children make up about one-third of the secondary school children) (3, 4, 6).

The curriculum in Iraq is memorization-based and outdated, therefore does not allow students to develop the highly-demanded skills in the modern jobs market or improved socioemotional capacity (4).

Gender & Marginalisation

Multi-shift schools in Iraq make up about 45% of the schools in Iraq, while putting those in the evening shift in a disadvantaged position, as pass rates between morning shift students and evening shift students may differ as much as 20% (4).

Enrolment is a key issue for an inclusive education sector in Iraq where the rate of females who are out of school (11.4%) is double that of males (5.4%), leaving out-of-school children vulnerable to child labor and child marriage (4).

Expected Development Outcome

Increasing private investments in schools and public-private partnerships could help Iraq deliver SDG 4 - Quality Education by deploying more capital.

Private schools may improve the quality of education in Iraq by offering different subjects and utilizing modern teaching methods.

Private schools may offer a more productive and modernized teaching curriculum and provide children with dedicated areas for extracurricular activities.

Gender & Marginalisation

Increasing the number of new private schools in Iraq could decrease the pressure on public finances, and help the Government of Iraq (GoI) reduce the multiple-shift practice in education.

New private schools, especially in urban areas, could narrow down the gap in school buildings and decrease the number of out of school girls.

Primary SDGs addressed

Quality Education (SDG 4)
4 - Quality Education

4.1.2 Completion rate (primary education, lower secondary education, upper secondary education)

4.a.1 Proportion of schools offering basic services, by type of service

Current Value

In 2020, 76%, 46%, 32% (primary education, lower secondary education, upper secondary education) (6).

Proxy: around half of the schools need rehabilitation and 45% run with multiple shifts (4).

Target Value

Universal primary and lower secondary completion rates by 2031 (19).

Ending multiple shift practices in education and completing 8,000 new school buildings (10).

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth

8.5.2 Unemployment rate, by sex, age and persons with disabilities

Current Value

15.7% in 2023 (20).

Target Value

The National Development Plan (NDP) for 2018-2022 sets out the objective -for private sector- of reducing unemployment by 0.5% every year throughout the five-year NDP period (10).

Secondary SDGs addressed

Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Improved teaching methods and extracurricular activities may improve employability after school, as well as skill sets of the wider population. Teachers increase income and job opportunities. Parents have enhanced choices for their children's education.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Scholarship programs and ensuring the low-fee aspect, private schools benefit families with limited financial resources. In areas with limited public education infrastructure, these schools expand educational opportunities and bridge gaps in access.

Planet

Material footprint of the schools are reduced thanks to design improvements and better siting.

Corporates

Education entrepreneurs find investment opportunities. Headhunting companies and human resources operations achieve scale by improving jobs market.

Public sector

Low-fee private schools contribute to the need and objective of building new schools by the Government of Iraq (GoI).

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Investing in quality of education lifts people out of poverty and increases the likelihood of social mobility.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Vulnerable communities may access quality education, improving their lifetime gains and overcoming multidimensional poverty.

Corporates

Investing in access to education enhance human capital development in the long run, therefore improving service quality and number of investable industries for business. Corporates also benefit from reduced likelihood of negative externalities (21).

Public sector

Education investments could help public sector employees upskill in the longer term. Education investments create more engaged citizens, reduce poverty, and contribute to rapid economic growth (21).

Outcome Risks

Investments can lead to increased resource consumption in the construction of new school infrastructure and urban sprawl, which impact local ecosystem and increases pressure on land use.

Impact Risks

The low-fee aspect could be in direct correlation with low-cost schools, which decrease costs by personal relations, meagre teaching quality and unregistered business operations.

If the low-fee aspect is not integrated in the business model, vulnerable communities and poor households risk being left behind.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Leveraging education sector opportunities reduce multidimensional poverty, flourish productivity and economic growth, and advance post-conflict reconstruction.

Who

Students, teachers, and parents benefit from enhanced opportunities while the public gains from the long-lasting improvement in productivity and social cohesion.

Risk

If the affordability aspect of private schools is not well integrated into the business model, vulnerable communities might be left behind, aggravating the existing social cleavages.

Contribution

In addition to low-fee private schools, improving pre-university education could be facilitated by investments in e-learning, pre-school education, and school infrastructure.

How Much

Narrowing down the gap of public to private student ratio in Iraq, which is 1:21, and the need for additional schools that is estimated to be around 12,000 (4, 26).

Impact Thesis

Improve educational outcomes, skills development, and employability, introducing innovative teaching methods and creating a learning ecosystem favourable for extracurricular activities.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

The Iraqi National Education Strategy, 2021-2031: lays the foundation for increasing financial commitments to achieve universal primary and secondary education, pledging to increase the share of public spending on education from below 10% to 16% before 2030 (19).

Ministerial Curriculum of the Government of Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani, 2022-2025: presents the vision of the government with respect to SDG priorities, including for the achievement of SDG 4 - Quality Education and improving efficiency in the educational system (2).

The National Development Plan, 2024-2028: is set to include a priority program that is designed to complete the public sector projects with a social dimension related to human capital development (31).

Republic of Iraq National Development Plan, 2018-2022: Sets out the government’s five-year objectives for the Human and Social Development pillar, including the construction of new schools to reduce overcrowding in the classrooms and to end multiple shift schooling practice (10).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) launched the 1 trillion dinar initiative in 2015 to support SMEs with concessional financing. Bloom project, implemented by Cihan Bank, provides collateral-free loans of up to about USD 110K for SMEs in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) (22, 23).

Fiscal incentives: Investment projects are exempt from non-custom taxes for 10 years and are subject to exemption of import duties for raw materials, equipment and devices, though implications and provision of incentives by the two different investment laws in the country may differ (24, 25, 28).

Other incentives: Iraq Development Fund is established as a fund of funds (FOF) to manage USD 2.4 billion to be spent on sustainable development in six priority sectors including education and digital transformation (26, 27).

Regulatory Environment

The Revised Investment Law No. 13 of 2006 in Iraq: sets out fiscal incentives for the Iraqi and foreign investors, including tax exemption for imported assets for educational projects, and establishes the National Investment Commission (NIC) for promoting and facilitating investments (24).

Investment Law of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), Law No.4 of 2006: grants equal rights to foreign and local investors and offers tax incentives for investments, including special clauses concerning education projects under the article 6 (25).

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

More than 2,300 private schools, Maarif Schools, International School of Choueifat - Erbil, Al-Mobdioon Primary Private School, GroFin, SABIS, GEMS.

Government

Ministry of Education (MoE), Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research, Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs (MoLSA), Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), the National Investment Commission (NIC), Newton Live Online Learning Platform.

Multilaterals

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), European Union, Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA), Nuffic - Orange Knowledge Program, the Swedish Development and Aid Organization (SWEDO).

Non-Profit

Adyan Foundation, Oxfam, Rashad Center for Cultural Governance, REACH Iraq, Rwanga Foundation, Save the Children, Re:Coded, the Station.

Target Locations

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country static map
urban

Iraq: Countrywide

Private school investments are need across Iraq, notably in Al-Anbar and Diala, where the public to private student ratios is the highest, and urban centers such as Baghdad, Basrah, Mosul, and Erbil (4).

References

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